Saturday, 29 April 2017

Cambridgeshire and Peterborough is a two horse race

In the wider context of the cult of the leader/CTO, Cambridgeshire and the Peterborough unitary authority are bundled together for a devolved mayor election, with a budget for the mayor to tackle housing and transport. To her credit, the green candidate at least proposes forming an assembly to keep this leader in check, but there is little chance of a green mayor. Local election literature told us time and again that it's a two horse race. But which two horses?
Labour have been using the only previous result that covers the same geographical area with a similar electoral process, and helpfully, shows them as the only ones that can beat the tory. They also foolishly put it on their website in jpeg format, with discrete cosine transform artifacts and all. Next time please use png guys!
But the mayor would have important make or break powers on a number of important issues. Houses in Cambridge are about as overpriced as in London. A new train station has led to redevelopment and price hikes in formerly affordable Chesterton as developers prepare to house even more London commuters. Peterborough of course has been discussed in the national press in a number of 'this is why Brexit happened' articles. This election is likely to be taken far more seriously by voters than the police and crime commissioner one in 2016.
On the other hand, Lib Dems are doing something even worse, using the Cambridgeshire county council results that wouldn't include any Peterborough votes at all. After all they still have residual support in Cambridge from back in the day when they were the anti-war, anti-fees party to the left of New Labour, whereas in Peterborough the Tories are much stronger, and they are a distant third party.
For more close monitoring of election visualisations, see Phil Rodgers' blog  .

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